The information gap
Loewenstein (1994), Psychological Bulletin
Curiosity arises when attention is drawn to a gap between what you know and what you want to know.
Limit: A theory and review, not a click study.
The Psychology of the Click.
Jake’s signature body of work. Not title tricks: the whole chain from a promise on a thumbnail to a customer, built from the channels V2C runs and measured where it can be.
The thesis
A working model, not a validated formula: what is proven, what is Jake’s own experience, and what is still untested are kept apart.
Every title and thumbnail makes a promise to one specific viewer. The click is that viewer deciding, in under a second, whether the promise is worth the risk of their time.
The one-sentence thesis
Five things push the click up. One pulls it down.
The promise, and whether one specific viewer judges it worth the risk of their time. Five things push it up, one pulls it down.
The hook removes the doubt. The body delivers on the expectation. Satisfaction, not retention or click-through rate on their own, is the signal YouTube rewards with more distribution.
Attention becomes a business result only when the next step is the natural one for that viewer: the need is created, the value is supplied, the action is explained, and the video continues.
The science underneath
Every study below was read at source and sits in the Psychology of the Click evidence register with its limits. None was run on YouTube thumbnails, so each shows a mechanism, not a guarantee.
Loewenstein (1994), Psychological Bulletin
Curiosity arises when attention is drawn to a gap between what you know and what you want to know.
Limit: A theory and review, not a click study.
Kang and colleagues (2009), Psychological Science
Curiosity peaked when students were about half-sure of the answer, and it tracked activity in a reward region of the brain.
Limit: 19 students in a scanner answering trivia questions.
Ruan, Hsee and Lu (2018), Journal of Marketing Research
Being teased with missing information and then given it made the experience better than receiving everything at once.
Limit: Not click behaviour. The resolution is the ingredient.
Hsee and Ruan (2016), Psychological Science
Curiosity led people to expose themselves to unpleasant stimuli, even electric shocks, for no benefit.
Limit: A lab result: curiosity can override self-interest, not improve satisfaction.
Kidd, Piantadosi and Aslin (2012), PLoS ONE
Infants looked away from events that were either very predictable or very unpredictable.
Limit: Infants, and looking away rather than choosing.
Robertson and colleagues (2023), Nature Human Behaviour
Each extra negative word in an average-length news headline raised click-through by 2.3%, and positive words lowered it.
Limit: News headlines on one site, not YouTube.
Aubin Le Queré and Matias (2025), Scientific Reports
Against vague headlines a more concrete one got more clicks. Against already-concrete headlines it got fewer.
Limit: One news site’s 2013 to 2015 audience, headline-plus-image packages.
Salganik, Dodds and Watts (2006), Science
Stronger social influence increased both the inequality and the unpredictability of success. The best songs rarely did poorly and the worst rarely did well.
Limit: Songs by unknown bands, not video.
Covington, Adams and Sargin (2016), YouTube’s own recommendation paper
The ranking objective is generally a simple function of expected watch time per impression. They warn that ranking by click-through can promote videos viewers do not finish.
Limit: A 2016 design statement, not today’s ranker.
Names Jake uses in his own talks
“that’s what you call confirmation bias and you have to be aware of that”Confirmation bias, 11:22
“If you only research winners, you can prove any bad idea.”Positivity bias, 33:06
“in different markets people within that market are within different levels of awareness. Some are problem aware, some are solution aware.”Levels of awareness, 4:45
“I actually learned in school and I’ve used this for like for YouTube and it’s called a depth first search.”Depth-first search, 22:37
“it’s a pattern interrupt that also drives curiosity and also fear-mongers a bit”Pattern interrupt, 5:08
Depth-first search is the name for the way Jake explores a niche from the top down: start at the root, follow one branch as deep as it goes, then go back up and take the next, so no corner is missed. He walks through it step by step in his training talk from 7:19.
A worked example
Jake’s own channel, measured with VideoCore Lens on 15 September 2026 and YouTube’s public count on 21 October 2026.
This is one video interpreted through the framework, not proof that the framework caused the result. The customer step is measured inside V2C client channels, and that is what the papers are for.
How the method turns this into a repeatable decision →These are real comments from viewers of this video.
The papers
Written from Jake’s own talks and the channels V2C runs, with the research it draws on cited and the claims separated into proven, experience and untested. One email when each paper publishes, nothing else.
One person. A connected brand family.
Jake Trinder.The person, the ideas and the reputation connecting everything.
Views To Clients. The specialist YouTube growth partner for businesses.
Jake’s signature research and talks.
Tools for clients and YouTubers, free tools and a Chrome extension.
Education and the strategist career pathway.
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